Information on valuation, funding, cap tables, investors, and executives for Polymarket. Nov 7, 2022. Updated May 11, 2023 at 4:26 p. S. New York Seed Stage Companies With Less Than $10M in Revenue . On Polymarket, it currently costs 71. You’ll receive a security code, as well as a prompt to check your email. The correct token allowances must be set before orders can be placed. Amid the election excitement, decentralized predictions site Polymarket has become the fourth-highest blockchain project by fees generated. In the US midterm elections Republicans have taken a sizable lead in the race to control the US House of Representatives, while the race for the Senate is tight. Bitcoin rises to over $15,000, Spanish firms reveal blockchain-based digital identity project and Polymarket sees fee generation boost. Nov 7, 2022 at 4:34 p. Operating Status Active. Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? $52,256. the firm's founder and CEO Shayne Coplan declined to specify whether the firm was seeking new licensing to reopen to US. Crypto crystal ball Polymarket has launched a new market: Airdrop Futures. a private key. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. midterm elections. Polygon co-founder, Sandeep Nailwal has retweeted Polymarket, betting money against Cardano to enter smart contracts before 1 st October. The resolution source. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Twitter reports any partial or major outages between November 16, and December 15, 2022. Founder and CEO of Binance, Changpeng Zhao, at a Rome appearance in 2022. 0, and Trump's return is under investigation by the CFTC, report says. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the 12th President of Turkey, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Turkish general election, currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. This article is for subscribers only. us only displays past markets, all of which are set to resolve by January 14th, 2022. TRENDING. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Presently, shares favoring “Yes” are trading at 10 cents. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Shayne Coplan is the Founder and CEO at Polymarket. American University ( PhD) David Alan Brat (born July 27, 1964) is an American politician and academic. Polymarket | If Twitter allows a majority of users to edit Tweets by June 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". 4 million civil penalty. Bitcoin rises to over $15,000, Spanish firms reveal blockchain-based digital identity project and Polymarket sees fee generation boost. But how accurate are prediction markets? Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why these markets are "a canonical source of truth. The U. following the controversial removal of CEO Sam Altman and co-founder Greg Brockman, leading to a potential leadership change and questioning the company's. m. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. I soon discovered, however, that my skills did not transfer over, and I quickly lost almost 75% of my trump profits on two ill. Remember, Polymarket has always been completely non-custodial, and all of your cryptoassets in the wallet that you used for Polymarket in the past are completely safe and your own. The CFTC is investigating whether Polymarket is allowing clients to trade swaps and binary options and whether it requires registration. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. Liked by Shayne Coplan. " This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Ilya officially ends his affiliation with OpenAI for any reason. 3%, depending on which is higher. It is an open finance application allowing users to bet on various globally debated topics. The agency’s order is its first major enforcement action in the blockchain space since the. 3, Polymarket settled with the CFTC for $1. 2,462 Number of Organizations • $30. The resolution source for this market is. 1. 4 million to settle U. On Polymarket, you create a portfolio based on your predictions and earn a profit if your predictions are correct. following the controversial removal of CEO Sam Altman and co-founder Greg Brockman, leading to a potential leadership change and questioning the company's. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nimrata Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. 0, gas fees could fall to a few cents, less than the fees charged by credit card companies like Visa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Kalshi Inc. After the market resolves, redeem your winning shares for $1 each. If Ukraine removes any claim to at least one of The Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Luhansk Oblast, or Donetsk Oblast in the. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. 4 million by the C. While the S&P 500 itself has had a great three-week run, plenty of the index’s. 60, then the market believes the probability of that event occurring is 60%. Polymarket is an information markets platform where spectators bet on the most highly-discussed topics of our world and recently announced Stage 2 of their Beta and that they closed a new $4 million funding round led by. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If you’re interested in earning 4-5% APY…. This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on March 1, 2021, 11:59 PM EST. More than $1 million has been bet on the question, according to Polymarket. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently announced a settlement with the company that operates Polymarket, a blockchain-powered online trading platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of binary events. House, this market will resolve to "Yes". It turned into a resurgent moment — albeit a dark one — for online prediction markets. S. Trump wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. Polymarket. The platform, launched in July 2021, is the first federally regulated exchange for trading on real-world events and enables both retail and institutional investors to make wagers on diverse events spanning from economics and politics to entertainment and culture. “‘Wen token?’ is one of the most asked questions in crypto,” Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan told CoinDesk. Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? $202,382. MAIL. This year, all 435 seats in the US House of Representatives, as well as 35 seats in the Senate are being contested. Events. Updated May 11, 2023 at 7:06 p. Otherw. The market drew $2. That is, all participants buy the shares of the bets they make. S. Polymarket is an information markets platform, where you can bet on the highly-debated topics and earn for being right. Polymarket predicts a Republican takeover in Tuesday's U. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. This market will resolve to "Palestine" if a Palestinian-related group (Hamas, PiJ, etc. This will resolve to "Yes" if, according to the CDC, the share of the Omicron (B. Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. Round. Founder of Estonia's LHV Bank Lost Access to $472M of Ether. Paul Gosar and other Republicans, poised to recapture House, want to impeach President Joe Biden Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and Senate Chris Hayes: If Republicans win, Trump will be the ‘shadow Speaker of the House’ Indiana elections 2022: Republicans aiming for longtime Democratic NW IN US House seatUMA’s #optimisticoracle is a powerful and flexible tool that can bring any type of real-world data on-chain to settle smart contracts or transactions in protocols like Polymarket, a leading #. Polymarket | This is a market group on the 95th Academy Awards, nicknamed "The Oscars" The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Pict. midterm elections. 7-8 — Workshop: How to Write Good Forecasting Questions. Every day, Swaroop Hegde and thousands of other voices read, write, and share important stories on Medium. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market-based in New York. May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, Texas The biggest and most established global hub for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any part of Curve founder Michael Egorov’s multi-million dollar position on Aave and/or Fraxlend is forcibly liquidated by August 15, 11:59 PM ET. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. Polymarket. Children. A coin issued by Tether has grown to almost $70 billion from $21 billion. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is possible to create and execute functional smart contracts on the Cardano network on a “Mainnet” by the. QuickSwap is a permissionless decentralized exchange based on Polygon Layer 2 scalability infrastructure. Polymarket. Polymarket is a prediction site on the Ethereum blockchain that enables users to buy and trade “shares” in the outcomes of future events. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Polymarket data put the odds of MetaMask airdropping a. Here is a list of the top . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Candidate country status is conferred by the European Council on the basis of an opinion from the European Commission, drawn up following an application for membership of the European Union (EU) by the country concerned. About. But how accurate are prediction markets? Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why these markets are "a. S. About - Polymarket. ) launched the rocket which caused the mentioned explosion. About 250 attendees spent 3 days listening to talks & attending workshops from Nate Silver, Emmett Shear, Robin Hanson, Scott Alexander, Dylan Matthews, as well as from founders & CEOs at Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Bets are placed using USDC, whose value, being tied to the US dollar, is entirely stable from one moment to the next. During this midterm election year, all voting seats in the House of. The resolution sourc. residents will not be able to trade. A team from Korea University led by Lee Sukbae ( 이석배) and Kim Ji-Hoon ( 김지훈) began studying this material as a potential superconductor starting in 1999. Over $250,000 in liquidity was built up in prediction market contracts on Polymarket over the weekend, from the serious to the absurd. Last Funding Type Seed. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. Register Now Betters on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket really. Hiring • May 19, 2022, 6:40PM EDT. Polymarket is not the only platform rendering the decentralized prediction service; at the beginning of this month, Augur unveiled a polygon deployment of its platform. What is Polymarket? One of the most successful DApps built on Polygon technology is Polymarket. 9064. However, U. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. MenuNew Zealand Markets closed. The resolu. FINANCE. Polymarket has come into the crosshairs of U. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any part of Curve founder Michael Egorov’s multi-million dollar position on Aave and/or Fraxlend is forcibly liquidated by August 15, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Shares of “Yes” are trading at around 34 cents on the dollar, meaning that “No, the superconductor is not real. The token went from $0. ”. Polymarket is a technology company that develops an information market platform. Rep. The relayer fee will be either (1) $3 + the network fee or (2) 0. Cryptocurrency. A report published by Bloomberg has now revealed that this platform could be under investigation over some of its services. Odds of a guilty verdict of any charges are about 98%, with a 61% chance that he will be found guilty of all charges. Giancarlo has had several advisory, board roles in crypto. Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. The agency’s order is its first major enforcement action in the blockchain space since the Commission’s new chair. That’s according to Polymarket, a blockchain-based betting site that. About. president. All 435 seats in the U. "Polymarket hosts information markets that harness the wisdom of the crowd to accurately forecast the future, empowering speculators to profit from their knowledge and spectators to make better decisions. Discover current leadership team members including founders, CEO, other executives and board directors. 4 million fine and wind down some prediction markets after a CFTC investigation found it was offering illicit options contracts in. 00 Nahel: €465,969. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins. Expires Jun 10, 2023. FunFair - London based , 2017 founded , Seed company . UTC. 00000. This means that Polymarket also. president. Polymarket team & investors own and govern the protocol. By CoinDesk Inc. The green side represents the “bid”: the highest price traders are willing to pay to buy Trump “Yes” shares. " More for You. Unlike Gnosis and Augur, though, Polymarket does not have a native digital asset. And, with so many unique features like a developer API, discord integration, amazing customization, revenue sharing, beta testing, teams and more, it's no wonder why so many Minecraft players love Polymart. Previously, Shayne was the Intern at Chroni cled and also held positions at Genius Media Group. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No. The market drew $2. Story by Sam Reynolds • 6h Betters on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket really aren't sure if Sam Altman will be coming back as OpenAI's chief executive amidst ongoing corporate drama. Dank Bank co-founder and CEO Harry Jones, the former head of. cdtv FM Clip Polymarket Social_Clip Republican Shayne coplan. House of Representatives and the Senate. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. Founded Date Mar 2020. Since Wednesday, users of Polymarket, a crypto-based futures trading platform, wagered over $300,000 on whether the “missing submarine” would “be found by June 23. NEWS. And while this number may seem pretty low, the fact that the bet is being taken at all is noteworthy in itself. This market includes any potential. Gambling. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Rogan wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. Also, Rally's RLY token launch, Lido enters ETH2 staking party, Polymarket goes to L2. Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. Some of the common topics that people trade on the platform include: Politics; Current events; Crypto; Financial markets ; On PolyMarket, you develop a portfolio based on your forecast and earn a profit if you are. Over $250,000 in liquidity was built up in prediction market contracts on Polymarket over the weekend, from the serious to the absurd. Polymarket said in response that it would close three markets. HOME. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. In public key cryptography, each user has a pair of cryptographic keys : a public key. Welcome to the Polymarket Docs. If you believe that there is a greater than 60% chance of. The advantage of this setup is that an open system can allow “anyone, anywhere to create markets on anything,” as Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan puts it. The prediction market service offers events contracts, something that only registered markets are allowed to do. UTC. While Polymarket did not admit or deny the findings in the order, it is required to cooperate with the CFTC on an ongoing basis and. Zack Seward contributed reporting. " The announcement must be public and verifiable, and can come via a variety of. Read writing from Swaroop Hegde on Medium. Polymarket | 557 followers on LinkedIn. NEWS. Explore {Polymarket's key management people. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. You can sell early if you want to. [. r/PredictionDiscord: All things related to Prediction Markets, such as PredictIt, Polymarket, Catnip, Flux, Omen, betfair, Metaculus, Prediqt, etc. LK-99 (from the Lee-Kim 1999 research) is a gray–black, polycrystalline compound, identified as a copper-doped lead‒oxyapatite. Brat came to national prominence when he defeated the U. NZX 50. This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on March 31, 2021, 12pm EST. The figure was as high as 93% after Trump had said he expected to be arrested. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". president. That’s what price discovery is — aggregating everyone’s opinions and knowledge and. If by November 8, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET KalshiEx lists a tradable market regarding political control in the U. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan discusses the accuracy of prediction markets. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. Polymarket has raised $4M over 2 rounds. 9. Decentralized predictions platform Polymarket has launched new information markets just three weeks after being fined $1. Jobs Number of Current Jobs 1 Shayne Coplan is the Founder & CEO at Polymarket. Speaking to Cointelegraph, Polymarket founder, Shayne Coplan, said the platform was designed to find answers to issues “people really want to know about rather than just things that they want to. Polymarket | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current debt ceiling for the US federal government is raised or suspended between April 19 and July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. The CFTC has ordered Polymarket to pay a civil monetary penalty of $1. S. Polymarket has been fined $1. ” and. You can also sign in with your Google account and then follow the same procedure. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the platform is launched prior to the resolut. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Ukraine and Russia both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. S. coronavirus, politics, current events, etc). Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any part of Curve founder Michael Egorov’s multi-million dollar position on Aave and/or Fraxlend is forcibly liquidated by August 15, 11:59 PM ET. Polymarket is a decentralized information markets platform that lets people trade real-money markets on the outcomes of the most-highly debated current events, and follow the. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". With votes still being counted across the country, Republicans maintained an opportunity to win control of Congress. The figure was as high as 93% after Trump had said he expected to be arrested. Quickswap. If Joe Biden or any other candidate is declared the winner of this election officially, this market will resolve to “No”. Augur's Partnerships and Investors. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U. ET. The company says that it will now use a geoblocking policy so that U. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. Get started. On the email you used to sign up, you’ll see an email. All NewPolymarket does not charge fees for trading. Crypto Prices Pool Setup . Biden aides and allies believe the president's efforts to cast the election in terms of abortion rights, right-wing political extremism and healthcare staved off a Republican 'wave. S. 46 that he will not be. News. Conversely, people can bet $0. Polymarket, which launched in 2020, is. S. 3B Total Funding Amount • 12,681 Number of Investors. president. a private key. I was a sharp poker player and had traded options at a finance firm. You can still profit off this kind of situation, sometimes. (d/b/a Polymarket. Operating Status. The resolution source. and other 13 companies. Polymarket is an information markets platform that lets you trade on the world’s most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. Business Services Multimedia & Graphic Design. That’s according to Polymarket, a blockchain-based betting site that. Chief Marketing Officer. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. Getting StartedBefore Polymarket, I was confident in my ability to estimate odds for different events. 4%. Polymarket | 'Avatar: The Way of Water' (2022) is an upcoming American action adventure fantasy sci-fi film produced by 20th Century Studios. . As is well known, however, the founder of ADA, Charles Hoskinson seems to have been criticized for his projections that did not meet some of the expectations within the crypto community. Founders Shayne Coplan. Orders for any amount can be created and listed, or fetched and read from the order book for a given market. Orders for any amount can be created and listed, or fetched and read from the order book for a given market. regulators’ allegations it offered. 1. S. Investors. More for You. 11,118. About. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ronald Dion de Santis wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U. fka Union. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible. 4-5 — Panel: Forecasting Founders (hear from Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, Insight Predictions, and more!) 5-6 — Games & markets: chess, poker, and prediction markets! 6-7 — Dinner & mingling. How do I decide whether to buy shares? The price of a share corresponds to the probability of an outcome occurring. The Polymarket team is excited to announce our microgrants program that will support our community members who want to build, create, and innovate within our ecosystem. Otherwise, this market will resolve. Free markets are the most effective information aggregators, and Polymarket applies that to the real world. Edit Lists Featuring This Company Section. following the controversial removal of CEO Sam Altman and co-founder Greg Brockman, leading to a potential leadership change and questioning the company's. The site settled with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to pay a $1. En Polymarket, las acciones del lado Sí del contrato "Sam vuelve como CEO de OpenAI" se cotizan actualmente a 55 centavos, lo que representa la creencia del mercado de que el lado Sí tiene un 55. 2. About. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, a runoff election will be held on April 4, 2023. Speculators can now bet on whether big-name crypto projects will airdrop a native token in Q1 2022. A Bloomberg Markets Europe review on January 3, 2022, referred to Polymarket as a “genuinely innovative platform” that “has been attracting a following. OpenAI co-founder Sam Altman is set to return as the chief executive officer of the artificial intelligence upstart nearly a week after he was ousted from the company's board, prompting backlash. Polymarket | The 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election is scheduled to take place on February 28, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if LayerZero launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. One of Polymarket'ss most popular polls shows that the Ethereum-based prediction market's users are betting Republicans will win the midterms. Plus, insights on former President Trump's possible presidential run in 2024. Polymarket is an information markets platform, where speculators bet on the world's most highly-debated topics (COVID, Politics, etc) — producing actionable insight. Polymarket's Exchange contract has been audited by Chainsecurity you can find the audit report here. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. This market asks whether Ukraine will constitutionally renounce its claim to at least one of the following—The Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Luhansk Oblast, Donetsk Oblast—by May 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. m. cdtv FM Clip Polymarket Social_Clip Republican Shayne coplan. Posted on: September 20, 2022, 08:59h. Sponsored. Polymarket will pay a $1. In a genius marketing move, Polymarket – an Ethereum blockchain-based prediction platform made a bet to the Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, challenging. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No. Shayne Coplan is the founder of Polymarket, an information markets platform. Milan. S. But how accurate are prediction markets? Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan explains why these markets are "a. Manifold’s 2022. And unregulated offshore betting is conducted on Polymarket , which uses cryptocurrency and was fined $1. 4 million to settle U. Jan 3, 2022. House Majority Leader, Eric Cantor, in the 2014. Many wallets like Exodus and Metamask also let you convert one token for another. Manifold Markets’ co-founder explains the “wisdom of the crowds effect. Manifest 2023. On Polymarket, shares of the Yes. T. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including Any replacement of the nominee before election day will. 5 billion in January to now have a $43 billion market cap. About. Polymarket is a platform for information markets that allows trading on the world's most hotly contested topics. Alongside Tether , USDC was among the stablecoins that minted new tokens ceaselessly last year, shooting up from less than $4. About. About. Popular Searches. Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket Shayne Coplan is the Founder & Chief Executive Officer at Polymarket based in New York City, New York. One specific bet on Polymarket focuses on whether Biden will be impeached by September 30, 2023, or December 31, 2023. midterm elections. A team from Korea University led by Lee Sukbae (이석배) and Kim Ji-Hoon (김지훈) began studying this material as a potential superconductor starting in 1999. midterm elections: Be ready for a long night and maybe days of waiting before it's clear whether Republicans or President Joe Biden 's Democrats will control. . Memorialization: at the time of this market's resolution, the money raised by each fundraiser was as follows: Police: €1,635,800. Cryptocurrency predictions site Polymarket has started its 2022 Midterms Live Forecast and is predicting Republicans will comfortably control both the U. Polymarket predicts a Republican takeover in Tuesday's U. All NewAbout Polymarket. S. Requisites Allowances. Polymarket's founder is Shayne Coplan. Calling it an “event-based binary options market” the CFTC brought suit against the company that runs Polymarket, which. [3] [4]Balance of power: Republicans, Democrats battle for control of House, Senate in midterm elections Republicans confident of House control but Senate remains close as first polls close Live Updates: Senate control in the balance as Democrats and Republicans fight for battleground states Polymarket Predicts Republicans Winning Both House and. There once. Polymarket has also launched a new peer-to-peer order book with no liquidity providers involved. Valuations are submitted by companies, mined from state filings or news, provided by VentureSource, or based on a comparables valuation model. We could not have reached the $100M trade volume milestone without you, and we want to give you the opportunity to work on your passion project on. Trade on the world's most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events, and more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. ” If pieces are located, but not the cabin which contains the vessel’s passengers, that will not suffice for this market to resolve to “Yes. Crypto Betting Platform Polymarket Fined $1. In its first enforcement action in the cryptocurrency arena in 2022, on January 3, 2022, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) entered an Order filing and simultaneously settling charges against Delaware-registered Blockratize, Inc. 4 million fine and wind down some prediction markets after a CFTC investigation found it was offering illicit options contracts in. Polymarket predicts a Republican takeover in Tuesday's U. 3 million in volume, according to the website. . Augur's Founders and History. Polymarket detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by Dec. Polymarket will pay a $1. Full API documentation can be found here. March 17, 2020—The CFTC announces that its staff has issued a number of no-action letters providing temporary, targeted relief. PolyMarket is a trading platform for information markets that allow you to trade on the world’s most hotly contested topics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Order finds that,. S. S. Polymarket | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U. Trump wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.